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August Economic Update


Positive earnings announcements and fundamental indicators lifted blue chips and other stock market indices in July with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 2.54%. Hiring and manufacturing data were particularly reassuring and annualized inflation declined once more.


Oil, gold, and other marquee commodities gained last month in addition to many Asia-Pacific stock benchmarks. In the real estate market, home buyers coped with slim supply and high median prices as mortgage rates crept up. (1)


NEW RECORD HIGHS FOR THE DOW JONES

On Tuesday of this week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached another impressive milestone of 22,000. In July, the Nasdaq Composite had another great month advancing 3.38% with the S&P 500 gaining a relatively modest 1.93%. The markets were generally left uninterrupted among political and international drama and aided by strong earnings from U.S. corporations. (1)


INFLATION WEAKENS & CONSUMERS ARE FEELING OPTIMISTIC

The Bureau of Labor Statistics published Consumer Price Index report for the previous month of June which showed inflation remained unchanged. The CPI has a yearly advance of only 1.6% - nearly half a point below the Federal Reserve’s target.


With low inflation, record stock market highs, and unemployment reaching new lows, consumer confidence is near a 16-year high according to the Conference Board’s index. (2,3,4)


HOME PRICES RISE SLIGHTLY - INVENTORY SHORTAGE CONTINUES

The home inventory shortage continues and only a modest 0.8% increase in home prices was cited according to the latest National Association of Realtors report released last week. Although demand remains high, home buyers are putting the brakes on purchasing this season with new home sales about 30% below the 50-year average for the previous month of June. (5)